Drooid Logo
Back to story perspectives

Full Breakdown

Missed Catch Fuels Social-Media Clash Over WAR Metrics

8/23/2026, 5:57:43 AM

The Game-Deciding Play

On Thursday, August 20, 2026, the Cincinnati Reds lost to the St. Louis Cardinals 10-9 after center fielder Dane Myers dropped a fly ball in left-center that would have been the final out of a potential 5-4 victory. The missed catch allowed the Cardinals to score six runs in the top of the ninth inning.

Players’ Exchange on X

After the game, former Reds outfielder Tommy Pham, now a Philadelphia Phillies Triple-A player, posted on X that Myers “stole” the catch to boost his defensive metrics, specifically his Outs Above Average (OAA) and Wins Above Replacement (WAR). Pham’s tweet on August 20, 2026 read:

Myers responded the next day, August 21, 2026, emphasizing his experience and the need to execute the play:

Background on Advanced Defensive Metrics

WAR and OAA are composite statistics used to evaluate a player’s overall contribution, including defensive performance. Critics argue that these metrics can incentivize players to prioritize personal statistical gain over team outcomes. Pham has previously voiced concerns about metric flaws, noting they often ignore variables such as opponent quality and weather conditions.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “This is an issue because center fielders and infielders are now gaming the system for their WAR,” — Tommy Pham
  • “Sticking with selfish still? Even after a mutual told you that's not who I am? I'm 30 about to enter first year of arb I'm never getting a big bag, I don't care about extra .1 oaa, I play to win, quit playing with my name and character. You sound dumb. You're a wack 'OG' to me,” — Dane Myers

Data & Statistics Mentioned

  • Myers entered arbitration eligibility at age 30, a status that Pham suggested could influence defensive decisions.
  • Pham, 38, is currently batting .284/.418/.448 with three home runs in 38 Triple-A games.
  • The disputed play occurred in the ninth inning with the Reds leading 5-4 before the Cardinals’ comeback.

Why It Matters

The dispute highlights tension between traditional baseball instincts and the growing influence of sabermetric evaluation. If players adjust positioning or effort to improve WAR or OAA, it could affect game outcomes, as illustrated by the Reds’ loss. The conversation also raises questions about how metric designers might refine calculations to discourage “gaming” behavior.

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

Sources agree on the sequence of the missed catch and the social-media exchange, but no independent verification exists regarding whether Myers intentionally avoided the catch to protect his metrics. The extent to which WAR calculations currently reward such decisions remains unclear.