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Economists: Tariffs Hit Consumers, Boost Inflation 0.5–1 Point

8/23/2026

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Story summary
  • U.S. President Donald Trump said tariffs would create jobs, while U.S. debt passed $40 trillion in 2026.
  • The Treasury reported $100 billion in tariff refunds paid to businesses, with $30 billion still owed.
  • Walmart received almost $3 billion in refunds, while Target received just under $1 billion.
  • Economists said 80-100% of tariff costs fall on consumers, raising inflation by 0.5-1 point.
  • Blue-collar and manufacturing employment showed negative year-over-year changes every month of 2025 and 2026.