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Myanmar Verifies Hundreds of Rohingya for Possible Return Amid Stalled Repatriation Efforts

8/25/2026, 12:57:57 AM

Core Development: Verification of 308,000 Potential Returnees

Myanmar’s military-backed government announced that it has verified roughly 308,000 of the 820,000 Rohingya names submitted by Bangladesh for possible repatriation. Any return would be postponed until security conditions improve in Rakhine State.

Background & Context

In August 2017, Myanmar security forces launched a campaign that forced more than 700,000 Rohingya to flee to Bangladesh. The United Nations estimates around 1.2 million Rohingya remain in camps, primarily in Cox’s Bazar. No official repatriation has taken place in the ten-year span since the exodus.

Data & Statistics

  • 308,000 Rohingya verified as former residents of western Rakhine.
  • 820,000 names submitted by Bangladesh for verification.
  • 1.3 million Rohingya currently hosted by Bangladesh.
  • $710 million needed in 2026 for urgent refugee and host-community needs; ?60 % funded.
  • 27 % year-on-year rise in severe acute malnutrition admissions among Rohingya children.

Official Statements & Responses

  • Myanmar’s Foreign Ministry said repatriation will only proceed once “security conditions improve” in Rakhine State.
  • Moe Thuzar, head of the Myanmar Studies Program at ISEAS, noted the military no longer controls most of Rakhine, where the Arakan Army now dominates large areas.

On-the-Ground Reports

Camp residents face universal food insecurity (World Food Programme). UNICEF data show a sharp increase in severe acute malnutrition among children, while Bangladesh officials note rising gang violence, child marriage, child labor and school dropouts as families struggle to meet basic needs.

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

  • Bangladesh cites more than 1.3 million Rohingya, whereas UN bodies reference around 1.2 million.
  • Myanmar’s verification figure of 308,000 contrasts with Bangladesh’s claim that the 820,000 submitted names include children born in camps, raising questions about verification criteria.

What’s Next

International actors are urged to develop a coordinated burden-sharing framework and apply diplomatic pressure on Myanmar to create conditions for a safe, voluntary and dignified return. No specific timelines have been announced.