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Ninth Circuit Rules Prediction Markets Are Gambling, Denies Injunctions

8/30/2026

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Story summary
  • The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that states may regulate prediction-market contracts as gambling.
  • Nevada Gaming Control Board welcomed the decision, saying it vindicates the state's long-standing sports-betting stance.
  • The panel classified the contracts as sports bets, rejecting the CFTC’s claim of exclusive swap jurisdiction.
  • Kalshi, Crypto.com and Robinhood were denied injunctive relief, leaving Nevada able to halt their sports-bet offerings.