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House Democrats Signal Possible Third Trump Impeachment

9/2/2026

20 4 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

House Democrats could launch a third impeachment of President Donald Trump if they win the 2026 midterms.
House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries said Democrats have not ruled anything out regarding impeachment.
Kalshi prediction market prices a Trump impeachment at $0.66, indicating a 66% chance and $520,000 traded.
Nate Silver’s model gives Democrats an 86% chance of winning the House, projecting a 15-seat majority.

History

Historical Context

After the House launched an impeachment inquiry on Oct 8 1998, it adopted two articles against President Bill Clinton on Dec 19 1998; the Senate trial beginning Jan 7 1999 required 67 votes to convict, but fell short. That episode showed how impeachment can shift party dynamics, a pattern lawmakers cite when debating new impeachment moves.

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Story summary

House Democrats could launch a third impeachment of President Donald Trump if they win the 2026 midterms.
House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries said Democrats have not ruled anything out regarding impeachment.
Kalshi prediction market prices a Trump impeachment at $0.66, indicating a 66% chance and $520,000 traded.
Nate Silver’s model gives Democrats an 86% chance of winning the House, projecting a 15-seat majority.

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