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Prediction Markets Give El-Sayed 65% Michigan Senate Chance

9/3/2026

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Story summary
  • Democratic candidate Abdul El-Sayed is running for the U.S. Senate seat in Michigan against Republican Mike Rogers.
  • His association with streamer Hasan Piker has led several Democratic officials to withhold endorsements.
  • Ohio U.S. Senator JD Vance called El-Sayed “evil” and told him to keep his wife’s name out of his mouth.
  • Kalshi and Polymarket prediction-market contracts gave El-Sayed a 64% and 65% chance of winning as of Tuesday afternoon.