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Trump trails in every swing state ahead of Labor Day

9/7/2026

18 3 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

U.S. President Donald Trump trails net approval across every major swing state as Labor Day nears.
Nationally, Trump holds a 34% approval, 60% disapproval, yielding a net rating of minus 26.
Wyoming gives Trump the highest net approval at +15, while Maryland records the lowest at –54.
He trails in Arizona (-18), Florida (-13), Georgia (-25) and Nevada (-25).
He also trails in North Carolina (-18), Ohio (-19), Pennsylvania (-20) and Wisconsin (-19).

History

Historical Context

In the 1992 presidential race, incumbent George H. W. Bush fell to 37.5% of the popular vote—the lowest share for a sitting president since William Howard Taft in 1912—and lost to Democrat Bill Clinton, who secured 43% and 370 electoral votes. Bush’s defeat, driven by a recession and a broken tax pledge, marked him as one of only four post-World-War II incumbents to be unseated.

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Story summary

U.S. President Donald Trump trails net approval across every major swing state as Labor Day nears.
Nationally, Trump holds a 34% approval, 60% disapproval, yielding a net rating of minus 26.
Wyoming gives Trump the highest net approval at +15, while Maryland records the lowest at –54.
He trails in Arizona (-18), Florida (-13), Georgia (-25) and Nevada (-25).
He also trails in North Carolina (-18), Ohio (-19), Pennsylvania (-20) and Wisconsin (-19).

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