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Story summary
- King’s Brazil Institute director Andreza Aruska de Souza Santos says Brazil’s election outlook hinges on macroeconomic performance and political confidence.
- A Quaest poll shows Lula at 42% and Bolsonaro at 41%, creating a statistical tie.
- Aruska notes headline economic indicators appear strong while many citizens face harsh cost-of-living pressures.
- She warns Supreme Court controversies fuel institutional mistrust and intensify the Lula-Bolsonaro divide.
