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Quaest Poll Ties Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro at 41%

9/8/2026

4 1 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro are tied at 41% in a Quaest poll.
A week earlier the same poll had Lula ahead by one point.
Datafolha poll (Sept 1–3) gave Lula 38% and Flávio 32%.
Washington’s 25% tariff on many Brazilian goods took effect July 22, fueling campaign attacks.
Flávio Bolsonaro accuses Justice Alexandre de Moraes of politicizing the court ahead of the Oct. 4 election.

History

Historical Context

Following failed plans that left inflation above 2,700% in 1989-90, Brazil introduced the Plano Real on 1 July 1994 under President Itamar Franco and Finance Minister Fernando Henrique Cardoso. The URV and new real dropped inflation from about 2,500% to under 10% in a year and earned a $2 billion IMF line. Lula’s 2024 bid now faces a 25% U.S. tariff, recalling those trade challenges.

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Story summary

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro are tied at 41% in a Quaest poll.
A week earlier the same poll had Lula ahead by one point.
Datafolha poll (Sept 1–3) gave Lula 38% and Flávio 32%.
Washington’s 25% tariff on many Brazilian goods took effect July 22, fueling campaign attacks.
Flávio Bolsonaro accuses Justice Alexandre de Moraes of politicizing the court ahead of the Oct. 4 election.

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