Back to today’s briefing

Story perspectives

Election Officials Scrutinize Surge in Prediction-Market Trading

9/9/2026

4 1 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

Election officials are confronting a surge in prediction-market trading tied to major races.
Kalshi reports its markets match odds, with 60% chances occurring about 60% of the time.
Prediction markets backed a losing candidate in the Wisconsin governor primary, mirroring inaccurate polls.
Delaware County director Jim Allen and Maryland administrator Jared DeMarinis propose a prediction-market betting oath for election workers.

1 of 1

Story summary

Election officials are confronting a surge in prediction-market trading tied to major races.
Kalshi reports its markets match odds, with 60% chances occurring about 60% of the time.
Prediction markets backed a losing candidate in the Wisconsin governor primary, mirroring inaccurate polls.
Delaware County director Jim Allen and Maryland administrator Jared DeMarinis propose a prediction-market betting oath for election workers.