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Anthropic’s Jacob Coxon Warns 10% AI Extinction Risk

9/9/2026

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Story summary
  • Jacob Coxon resigned from Anthropic and warned that the race to build AI could threaten humanity.
  • Evan Hubinger, Anthropic science lead, said Coxon was “correct” and sees AI extinction risk exceeding 10% within ten years.
  • OpenAI’s ChatGPT estimated a 5% chance AI could cause human extinction by September 2036, with a plausible 1–15% range.
  • Surveys show AI safety specialists estimate 5%–10% ten-year extinction risk, while the AI community sees <=1% risk.