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NOAA Forecasts 90% Chance of Strong El Niño 2026-27

By Drooid · Sep 11, 2026, 4:34 AM UTC · How we work

Summary

Story summary

U.S. NOAA says El Niño has a 75% chance of intensity Oct-Dec 2026.
U.S. Climate Prediction Center gives >90% chance of a strong El Niño in fall-winter 2026-27.
Oxfam reports drought has ruined corn crops in America’s Dry Corridor, worsening food and water insecurity.
Vaisala meteorologist Donald Keeney says conditions will persist in Central America during El Niño.
Keeney adds later cooling should bring rain and boost winter wheat yields in the Plains.

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Story summary

U.S. NOAA says El Niño has a 75% chance of intensity Oct-Dec 2026.
U.S. Climate Prediction Center gives >90% chance of a strong El Niño in fall-winter 2026-27.
Oxfam reports drought has ruined corn crops in America’s Dry Corridor, worsening food and water insecurity.
Vaisala meteorologist Donald Keeney says conditions will persist in Central America during El Niño.
Keeney adds later cooling should bring rain and boost winter wheat yields in the Plains.