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NOAA Raises Very Strong El Niño Odds to 75%

By Drooid · Sep 11, 2026, 2:48 PM UTC · How we work

Summary

NOAA Predicts El Niño

U.S. NOAA Climate Prediction Center raised odds of a historic very strong El Niño to 75%.
A coastally trapped Kelvin wave will lift California sea levels 6-12 inches by mid-October.
NOAA forecasts a 98% chance the El Niño stays very strong through December.
The wave may worsen marine heat-wave stress and harmful algal blooms along California shores.

Summary

FEMA Reimburses

FEMA has reimbursed $4 million of the $60 million storm-damage aid owed to Santa Barbara County.
Supervisor Joan Hartmann warned that California’s political leanings could slow future FEMA disaster assistance.
Santa Clara Valley Water District is undertaking 37 flood-control projects to clear debris and stabilize creek banks.
Insurance experts say standard policies exclude sinkholes, erosion and wave damage, urging homeowners to obtain flood-insurance quotes.

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NOAA Predicts El Niño

U.S. NOAA Climate Prediction Center raised odds of a historic very strong El Niño to 75%.
A coastally trapped Kelvin wave will lift California sea levels 6-12 inches by mid-October.
NOAA forecasts a 98% chance the El Niño stays very strong through December.
The wave may worsen marine heat-wave stress and harmful algal blooms along California shores.

1 / 2