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Israeli Election Poll Shows Broad Struggle to Reach Knesset Threshold

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Poll Snapshot: Party Support and Threshold Challenges

Likud Primary and Alliance Dynamics

The Likud primary, scheduled for August 17, 2026, is not expected to provide a major boost to the party’s overall standing. Dr. Within the broader Zionist bloc, surplus-vote agreements are expected to “prevent wasted votes,” but internal struggles between Likud, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism, and Am Yisrael are “not benefiting Likud” at present.

Arab Voter Turnout Potential

Arab citizens constitute roughly 21 % of Israel’s population. Dr. If Arab turnout matches that of Jewish voters, the Arab parties could collectively secure up to 17 seats, a factor that could reshape coalition calculations.

Internal Haredi Party Tensions

These dynamics add another layer of uncertainty to the right-wing bloc’s overall performance.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “To them, we can add the Religious Zionism and Zehut list, which is passing the electoral threshold, but still cannot rest on its laurels.” — Dr. Menachem Lazar — Dr. Menachem Lazar