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Hurricane Fay Formation Chances Rise as NHC Flags Development

By Drooid · Sep 15, 2026, 2:15 AM UTC · How we work

Summary

Hurricane Fay Formation

The U.S. National Hurricane Center says the disturbance could become a tropical depression later this week and be named Fay.
The center assigns a 40% chance of development, up from 30% as the system enters a more favorable environment.
No hurricane has formed by Sept. 14, marking the latest first hurricane since 1966.
A strong El Niño is boosting wind shear, limiting Atlantic storm development.

Summary

Pacific Produces Storms

The eastern Pacific produced 14 named storms, including Category 5 Hurricane Lowell.
Central Pacific activity was 40% above normal when Hurricane Lala hit Hawaii’s Big Island.
NOAA called Southern California’s coastal waters a marine heatwave, 6 °F above long-term averages.
El Niño should push the Pacific jet stream south, creating warmer, drier Northwest weather.
Experts warn that, despite Atlantic quiet, a single storm could still cause severe damage like Andrew.

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Hurricane Fay Formation

The U.S. National Hurricane Center says the disturbance could become a tropical depression later this week and be named Fay.
The center assigns a 40% chance of development, up from 30% as the system enters a more favorable environment.
No hurricane has formed by Sept. 14, marking the latest first hurricane since 1966.
A strong El Niño is boosting wind shear, limiting Atlantic storm development.

1 / 2