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Quebec Leaders Gear Up for First Election Debate Amid Shifting Campaign Dynamics

By Drooid · · How we work

Core Event: Upcoming Leaders’ Debate

The first of two scheduled debates will take place on Tuesday evening, featuring all five party leaders. The forum is expected to shape voter perceptions as the campaign reaches its midpoint, with leaders using the stage to address transport, health care and immigration while attempting to avoid missteps.

Analyst Commentary: Stakes and Party Trajectories

Jean-François Daoust, a political science professor at Université de Sherbrooke, notes that the debate offers Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) leader Christine Fréchette a chance to present herself as a change candidate, while other leaders aim to maintain their standing. He observes that Fréchette’s prior roles—including immigration minister and “super minister” of the economy—tie her to the CAQ’s record rather than an outsider image. Daoust also highlights the challenges facing Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, who must balance competence with humility, and Liberal leader Charles Milliard, who seeks to broaden appeal beyond anglophone areas.

Key Leaders’ Campaign Focus

  • Christine Fréchette (CAQ) – Emphasizes a rebrand that replaces the party name on posters with her own, signaling a shift from predecessor François Legault’s eight-year tenure.
  • Paul St-Pierre Plamondon (Parti Québécois) – Plans to unveil the party’s financial framework on Tuesday, positioning the PQ as a likely seat winner but with uncertainty over majority versus minority status.
  • Charles Milliard (Quebec Liberal Party) – Visits health-care sites to extend reach beyond traditional anglophone strongholds.
  • Éric Duhaime (Conservative) – Focuses on immigration at a downtown Montreal news conference, aiming to stand out without the baggage of controversial candidates.
  • Ruba Ghazal (Québec solidaire spokesperson) – Engages on health-care issues, though the party struggles to differentiate its platform as its core issues have entered mainstream debate.

Potential Electoral Impact

Daoust predicts that while the Parti Québécois appears poised to win the most seats, the final government composition—majority or minority—remains unclear. He suggests that a PQ majority could significantly diminish the CAQ’s presence, whereas a strong second-place finish for the CAQ would preserve its influence in a minority-government scenario.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “The party went from being threatened to be completely wiped from the electoral map … to being competitive to form the next government,” — Daoust. Fréchette