Story perspectives

Fed Set for 25-Bps Rate Hike September 16

By Drooid · Sep 15, 2026, 10:49 PM UTC · How we work

Summary

Story summary

The Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points on September 16, 2026.
Interest-rate futures indicated a 95% probability of the hike on September 14, up from 87% the day before.
Dean Curnutt of Macro Risk Advisors warned of an 8%-10% S&P pullback and a December second leg.
The hike would move the target range from 3.50%-3.75% to 3.75%-4.00%, the first increase since July 2023.

History

Historical Context

In June 2004 the Federal Reserve, chaired by Alan Greenspan, started a gradual tightening that lifted the federal-funds target from roughly 1 % to 2.25 %. The FOMC raises rates by selling Treasury securities, removing money from circulation and driving yields up. A projected 25-basis-point hike in September 2026 to a 3.50-3.75 % range mirrors that incremental strategy, illustrating the Fed’s enduring playbook for curbing inflation.

1 of 2

Story summary

The Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points on September 16, 2026.
Interest-rate futures indicated a 95% probability of the hike on September 14, up from 87% the day before.
Dean Curnutt of Macro Risk Advisors warned of an 8%-10% S&P pullback and a December second leg.
The hike would move the target range from 3.50%-3.75% to 3.75%-4.00%, the first increase since July 2023.

1 / 2