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Vivek Ramaswamy Trails Amy Acton in Ohio Gubernatorial Poll

By Drooid · · How we work

Core Event

A new poll released less than 50 days before Election Day shows Republican former presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy falling behind Democrat Amy Acton in Ohio’s governor’s race. The survey places Acton with a narrow lead that sits within the poll’s margin of error, while Ramaswamy’s support has slipped by one point since an April poll by the same firm.

Background & Context

Ohio’s governorship has been held by Republicans since 2011, following Democrat Ted Strickland’s 2007-2011 term. The current incumbent, Mike DeWine, is term-limited, opening the field for both parties. President Donald Trump carried Ohio by about 11 percentage points in 2024, an improvement over his 2016 and 2020 margins, yet the state remains competitive for Democrats, as evidenced by former President Barack Obama narrowly winning the state in 2008 and 2012.

Data & Statistics

  • Ramaswamy’s support: down 1 point from April poll.
  • Nationally, 34 percent of voters approve of Trump’s job performance and 60 percent disapprove, yielding a net approval of -26 (Civiqs rolling poll).
  • Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin model projects a 58.6 percent chance for Democrats to win the U.S. Senate on September 14, up from 50.6 percent on September 6.

Official Statements & Responses

  • Doug Gordon, Democratic strategist and co-founder of UpShift Strategies, told Newsweek: “Momentum is clearly on the Democrats' side. And Trump's historic low approval ratings certainly give more wind to the Democrats' sails. But Democrats shouldn't be popping the champagne yet. There is still a lot of work to do,” — Doug Gordon, a Democratic strategist and co-founder of UpShift Strategies

What Happens Next

Ohio’s voter-registration deadline is October 5, with early in-person voting beginning October 6. Voters will cast ballots on November 3 for governor, U.S. Senate, and House seats. The race is viewed as a key battleground that could influence Senate control in the 2026 cycle.