Full Breakdown
Netanyahu Bloc Projected to Edge Eisenkot Bloc in Latest Poll
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Poll Results Overview
A Channel 13 poll released this week shows the bloc of parties backing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu projected to win 54 seats, narrowly ahead of the bloc led by Gadi Eisenkot, which is forecast at 52 seats. Within the Eisenkot bloc, the Yashar party is the largest, projected at 22 seats. The Likud party, Netanyahu’s own, is expected to secure 18 seats, one fewer than in the previous poll and its lowest tally in recent months.
Seat Allocation Details
- Yashar (Eisenkot) – 22 seats
- Likud (Netanyahu) – 18 seats
- Together (Naftali Bennett) – 12 seats (down one)
- The Democrats (Yair Golan) – 10 seats
- Four lists at eight seats each: the Religious Zionist–Zehut alliance (Bezalel Smotrich, Moshe Feiglin), Otzma Yehudit (Itamar Ben Gvir), Yisrael Beytenu (Avigdor Liberman), and the Joint List.
- Shas and United Torah Judaism – seven seats each
- Am Yisrael (Ofer Winter) – six seats, matching Ra’am (Mansour Abbas)
Parties failing to cross the electoral threshold include the HaMiluimnikim list (Yoaz Hendel, Yaron Zelekha) at 3.1 %, the Haredi Public party at 1.8 %, and Blue and White (Benny Gantz) below 1 %.
Poll Methodology
The survey was conducted by HaMadad (Shmuel Rosner, Noah Slepkov) in cooperation with Stat-Net (Yousef Makalda), HaMidgam Project (Dr. Ariel Ayalon) and Askaria (Dudi Dror). A total of 886 respondents participated, yielding a margin of error of 3.3 percent.
Potential Political Impact
If the projections hold, Netanyahu’s coalition bloc would retain a slim majority, despite Likud’s decline, while Eisenkot’s bloc remains competitive. The distribution suggests that smaller right-wing parties such as Otzma Yehudit and the Religious Zionist–Zehut alliance could become pivotal in coalition negotiations. The Arab parties, collectively projected at 14 seats, may also influence the balance of power in a closely divided Knesset.