Full Breakdown
Europe’s Sea-Crossings Plunge While Fatalities Rise, IOM Reports
By Drooid · · How we work
Sharp Decline in Arrivals
The International Organization for Migration (IOM) said that about 60,000 migrants and refugees reached European shores by sea as of Sept 15, a drop of roughly 39-40 % compared with the same period last year, when 98,000 (or 98,040) arrived. The decline is most pronounced on the Central Mediterranean route to Italy, where arrivals fell from more than 48,000 to more than 21,000. Greece saw arrivals fall by around 5,000, while the Eastern Mediterranean route to Greece recorded a 55 % reduction on the Central Mediterranean leg.
Rising Death Toll
Despite fewer crossings, the number of people who died or went missing at sea increased. IOM data show at least 2,292 deaths or disappearances this year, up from 1,999 the previous year. Some outlets round the figure to nearly 2,300 versus nearly 2,000. The Central Mediterranean route to Italy accounted for 996 deaths, up from 844. On the Eastern Mediterranean route to Greece, fatalities rose from 284 to 417. In the July 30-31 Ceuta border crisis, at least 97 people died on the Spanish side of the Morocco border. IOM cautions that the true toll is likely higher because many shipwrecks remain unrecorded and authorities are becoming less transparent, according to the Associated Press.
Political Context and Policy Shifts
The drop in arrivals coincides with growing pressure from right-wing and conservative parties in Europe to tighten border controls. In June, the European Union adopted new rules that permit migrant deportations to locations outside the bloc. IOM has called for expanded legal migration pathways and for policies that reduce the hazards of irregular routes.
Official Statements & Responses
IOM Director General Amy Pope emphasized that the surge in deaths is preventable and urged stronger international cooperation to combat trafficking and to provide safe, legal alternatives for migration. The agency also highlighted that Libyan authorities intercepted and returned 17,067 migrants at sea during the reporting period.
Verbatim Quotes
- “Nearly every death and disappearance at sea is preventable,” — IOM's Director General Amy, said iom's director
Conflicting Reports & Gaps
- Arrival figures vary slightly: some sources cite “around 60,000,” others give “approximately 60,000,” and one report specifies 60,000 versus 98,040 the prior year.
- Death counts are reported as 2,292, nearly 2,300, and nearly 2,000 for the previous year, reflecting rounding differences.
- The extent of unrecorded deaths remains uncertain, with IOM and the AP noting limited transparency from coastal authorities.
Why It Matters
The juxtaposition of fewer crossings with a higher fatality rate underscores the growing danger of the remaining migration routes. As legal avenues remain limited and enforcement policies tighten, migrants are compelled to use more hazardous vessels and longer journeys, increasing the risk of loss of life. The data suggest that policy choices aimed at deterring arrivals may inadvertently elevate mortality unless accompanied by robust rescue operations and safe, legal alternatives.
