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NHC Gives 40% Chance Bermuda Disturbance Becomes Hurricane

By Drooid · Sep 18, 2026, 12:26 AM UTC · How we work

Summary

Story summary

National Hurricane Center warns a Bermuda disturbance could become the season’s first hurricane.
2026 season marks the longest hurricane-free stretch since 1966, despite five named storms.
El Niño’s strong phase raises wind shear, prompting forecasts of only 1-3 hurricanes, down from 3-4.
The center assigns a 40 % chance of formation within 48 hours and urges Bermuda residents to monitor it.

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Story summary

National Hurricane Center warns a Bermuda disturbance could become the season’s first hurricane.
2026 season marks the longest hurricane-free stretch since 1966, despite five named storms.
El Niño’s strong phase raises wind shear, prompting forecasts of only 1-3 hurricanes, down from 3-4.
The center assigns a 40 % chance of formation within 48 hours and urges Bermuda residents to monitor it.