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AfD Leads in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern While Die Linke Tops Berlin in Key State Elections

By Drooid · · How we work

Election Outcomes in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Berlin

On September 20, 2026, German voters cast ballots in two state elections that reshaped the political map. In the north-eastern state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) finished first, overtaking the Social Democratic Party (SPD) whose candidate Manuela Schwesig led a close race (AfD 36 % vs. SPD 37 % according to public broadcaster ZDF). The centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) recorded only about 6 % of the vote, hovering near the five-percent threshold required for parliamentary representation. In Berlin, the ruling CDU faced a neck-and-neck contest with the far-left Die Linke, which emerged ahead in the capital’s results.

Political Stakes for Chancellor Friedrich Merz

Chancellor Friedrich Merz, who has led a national coalition since May 2025, described the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern result as a “disaster” for the CDU and announced a crisis meeting of party leadership to assess the fallout. He also cancelled a planned trip to the United Nations General Assembly to focus on domestic repercussions. Despite the setbacks, Merz pledged to remain in power and to continue a programme of tax, healthcare, pension, defence and infrastructure reforms, while thanking the centre-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) for staying in the governing coalition.

Poll Numbers and Approval Ratings

Merz’s personal popularity has slipped to just above 10 % approval. Pollster Roland Abold of the Infratest Dimap research institute reported that only 13 % of respondents were satisfied with Merz’s performance in the latest September survey—the lowest satisfaction level ever recorded for an incumbent chancellor. Nationwide, the AfD is now leading in aggregate polling, adding pressure on the CDU’s traditional dominance.

Official Statements & Responses

During a press conference on September 17, 2026, Merz said he was “grateful” to the SPD for remaining a junior partner in the coalition and emphasized a collective determination to meet Germany’s historic challenges. Eight state premiers issued a joint statement urging “stability now more than ever” rather than personnel debates, though they stopped short of endorsing Merz personally.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “In our last survey in September, 13 per cent were still satisfied with his political performance. These are the lowest figures we have ever recorded for an incumbent chancellor,” — Roland Abold, pollster, Infratest Dimap “In our last survey in September, 13 per cent were still satisfied with his political performance. These are the lowest figures we have ever recorded for an incumbent chancellor,” — Roland Abold