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Story summary
- RealClearPolling averages show Democrats leading Republicans 50.5% to 42% in the generic congressional vote.
- Decision Desk HQ gives Democrats a 70% chance to win the House and a 52% chance for the Senate.
- U.S. President Donald Trump’s approval fell to 29% in a poll, the first sub-30% rating in his terms.
- University of Surrey expert Mark Shanahan says Trump’s war with Iran is hurting Republican midterm chances.