Story perspectives

YouGov poll projects hung parliament under Andy Burnham

By Drooid · Sep 24, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC · How we work

Summary

Story summary

YouGov released an MRP poll 24 September 2026 projecting seats if election were held under PM Andy Burnham.
Poll projects Labour 241 seats, Conservatives 130 seats and Reform UK 123 seats, indicating a hung parliament.
Four-in-ten progressive voters say they would vote tactically, cutting Reform seats to 60 and raising Labour to 319.
Researchers say cost-of-living and NHS concerns unite a ‘progressive majority’ Labour must appeal to in a coalition.

History

Historical Context

The 6 May 2010 UK general election produced the first hung parliament since February 1974, with the Conservatives winning 306 seats and a 5.1 % swing from Labour, prompting the historic Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition. A 2026 YouGov poll for a Labour-led election mirrors that pattern, projecting Labour 241 seats, Conservatives 130 and Reform UK 123, again indicating a hung parliament and the likelihood of coalition talks.

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Story summary

YouGov released an MRP poll 24 September 2026 projecting seats if election were held under PM Andy Burnham.
Poll projects Labour 241 seats, Conservatives 130 seats and Reform UK 123 seats, indicating a hung parliament.
Four-in-ten progressive voters say they would vote tactically, cutting Reform seats to 60 and raising Labour to 319.
Researchers say cost-of-living and NHS concerns unite a ‘progressive majority’ Labour must appeal to in a coalition.

1 / 2