Full Breakdown
RNC Chair Predicts GOP Holds Both Congressional Chambers in Midterms
By Drooid · · How we work
Predicted GOP Majorities
Republican National Committee chair Joe Gruters said he expects the party to retain control of the House with 220 seats and the Senate with 53 seats in the upcoming November midterm elections. He framed the outlook as a direct result of the party’s “better candidates” and increased resources over the past two years.
Party Context and Internal Tensions
Gruters made the prediction while acknowledging that President Donald J. Trump’s approval rating has fallen to a career low, with a 37.9 % approval and 60.7 % disapproval according to Decision Desk HQ. The poll also projects that both chambers will ultimately be won by Democrats. Within the GOP, some candidates—such as Florida gubernatorial hopeful Byron Donalds and Senate contenders Mike Rogers (Michigan) and Ashley Hinson (Iowa)—have recently down-played ties to Trump, especially regarding the war in Iran and rising living costs. Despite these moves, Gruters argued that embracing Trump’s policies remains the winning strategy.
Official Statements & Responses
Gruters emphasized the party’s confidence during an interview on NewsNation’s “The Hill.” He stated:
- “But listen, I would say, ‘Bet on us.’ If you look at what we’ve done over the last two years, we have better candidates across the country in both the Senate and the House races, we have a lot more resources to spend,” — Joe Gruters, chair
He added that the president’s messaging is a decisive advantage:
- “We think what the president’s delivered in terms of messaging standpoint, we think it’s a winner,” — Joe Gruters, chair
Data & Statistics
- Predicted GOP seats: 220 in the House, 53 in the Senate (attributed to Joe Gruters).
- President Trump’s approval: 37.9 %; disapproval: 60.7 % (Decision Desk HQ).
- Decision Desk HQ’s forecast: both chambers to be controlled by Democrats (attributed to the pollster).
These figures illustrate the contrast between the RNC’s optimistic projection and the polling data suggesting a Democratic advantage heading into the midterms.