Story perspectives

Datafolha Poll Shows Lula Leading Bolsonaro in Runoff

By Drooid · Sep 25, 2026, 4:21 PM UTC · How we work

Summary

Story summary

Datafolha poll released September 25 2026 shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead of Bolsonaro in a simulated runoff.
The survey interviewed 2,002 respondents between September 22 and 23 and has a 2-percentage-point margin of error.
BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed Lula at 46% and Bolsonaro at 45% in a simulated second round.
Lula met Mayor Zohran Mamdani in New York while preparing to address the United Nations General Assembly and stressed cost-of-living concerns.

History

Historical Context

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won Brazil’s 2002 presidential runoff on 27 October, his fourth candidacy, edging José Serra by a narrow margin amid an economic crisis. The 2026 Datafolha poll indicates a similarly tight race between Lula and Jair Bolsonaro, echoing that historic close contest and reviving intense financing battles. The Workers' Party (PT) mobilized millions of voters nationwide.

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Story summary

Datafolha poll released September 25 2026 shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead of Bolsonaro in a simulated runoff.
The survey interviewed 2,002 respondents between September 22 and 23 and has a 2-percentage-point margin of error.
BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed Lula at 46% and Bolsonaro at 45% in a simulated second round.
Lula met Mayor Zohran Mamdani in New York while preparing to address the United Nations General Assembly and stressed cost-of-living concerns.

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