Story perspectives

El Niño hits record 3.11°C, 90% chance through 2026

By Drooid · Sep 27, 2026, 9:57 PM UTC · How we work

Summary

El Niño Record

Peru’s National Emergency Operations Center says El Niño reached a record 3.11 °C above average, surpassing 2015.
Forecast models give a 90 % probability the El Niño will stay very strong through the end of 2026.
Climate Impact Lab estimates the heat release could cause 451,000 additional deaths worldwide by February 2027.
California Governor Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency, warning $2-3 billion flood and mudslide losses.

Summary

Hurricane Nolo Devastates

Hurricane Nolo damaged or destroyed more than 500 homes across the Hawaiian Islands.
‘Aina Momona restored Moloka‘i’s Ka‘amola ahupua‘a, reforesting mauka lands and raising the water table.
Program director Jane Au says the ahupua‘a system enhances hurricane resilience.
Native Hawaiian groups report storms have exposed damage from degraded forests, filled wetlands, and altered streams.
Hurricane Nolo remains a Category 5 storm with sustained winds of 160 mph in the Pacific basin.

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El Niño Record

Peru’s National Emergency Operations Center says El Niño reached a record 3.11 °C above average, surpassing 2015.
Forecast models give a 90 % probability the El Niño will stay very strong through the end of 2026.
Climate Impact Lab estimates the heat release could cause 451,000 additional deaths worldwide by February 2027.
California Governor Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency, warning $2-3 billion flood and mudslide losses.

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