Minnesota Senate Race Tightens in Latest Poll

A new InsiderAdvantage survey shows Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (D) holding a narrow 46 percent lead over former NFL sideline reporter Michele Tafoya (R), who trails at 45 percent among likely voters. The poll also notes that Flanagan is losing every age group except the youngest, while Tafoya performs strongly with men. Earlier this month, a Quantus Insights poll gave Flanagan a four-point edge and a co/efficient poll showed a one-point edge. The Cook Political Report continues to rate the contest as “likely Democrat,” though the race is described as a toss-up.

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She has been an outspoken critic of the Trump administration’s immigration enforcement actions in Minnesota, including the federal shooting that killed two people in Minneapolis earlier this year.

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Tafoya has also criticized the ICE rollout in the state, telling NewsNation that the operation was “very poorly handled” and that former DHS Secretary Kristi Noem was “fired appropriately.” She blames Flanagan for the fraud scandal that prompted the deployment of thousands of Department of Homeland Security officers to Minnesota.

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Flanagan’s campaign emphasizes a platform focused on immigrant protection and voter enthusiasm among younger constituents. Tafoya’s public remarks highlight concerns over the handling of ICE operations and attribute responsibility for the state’s fraud scandal to the incumbent administration.

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• “Tafoya does extremely well with men and Flanagan is losing every age group other than the youngest of voters, who in the poll have a significant ‘enthusiasm about voting’ gap versus other age groups who are more enthusiastic,” — Matt Towery — Matt Towery, pollster

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These sections synthesize the limited reporting available, presenting the current polling landscape, candidate positions on immigration enforcement, and the statements each candidate has made regarding the issues shaping this closely contested U.S. Senate race.

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