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Story summary
- Decision Desk HQ forecast shows Democrats have strengthened their House race position.
- The forecast flags House seats most likely to flip.
- The forecast checked whether data backs Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton’s private GOP convention assessment.
- Bill Sammon will discuss the analysis with Geoffrey Skelley in a Q&A at noon EDT on October 1, 2026.
- Viewers can submit questions by entering their name and comment in the chat feature.
