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Story summary
- Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers are in a close Michigan Senate race per September 2026 polls.
- Fox News poll (Sept 24-28) of 1,028 voters gave El-Sayed 50% and Rogers 49%, inside a ±3-point margin.
- Marist poll (Sept 24-27) of 1,235 registered voters showed El-Sayed 51% versus Rogers 44%, with a ±3.8-point margin.
- Rich Baris said 18% of Rogers’ likely voters were persuadable compared with 12% of El-Sayed’s supporters.