Story perspectives

Datafolha Poll Shows Lula Leads Bolsonaro in Runoff

By Drooid · Oct 2, 2026, 3:40 AM UTC · How we work

Summary

Story summary

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads Flávio Bolsonaro in runoff polls.
Datafolha poll on Oct 1 shows Lula 48% and Bolsonaro 45% in a second round.
The same poll gives Lula 42% and Bolsonaro 38% for the vote on Oct 4.
Datafolha surveyed 2,506 people between Sept 29 and Oct 1, a 2-point margin of error.
Bolsonaro is under investigation for alleged corruption and money-laundering tied to a film about his father.

History

Historical Context

In the wake of Dilma Rousseff’s 2016 impeachment and Michel Temer’s term, the 28 October 2018 runoff gave Jair Bolsonaro 55 % of the vote, a four-point lead over Fernando Haddad in October polls. Today, former president Lula again leads Flávio Bolsonaro by a similar margin as Brazil’s Supreme Court probes alleged film-related money laundering, highlighting ongoing polarization.

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Story summary

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads Flávio Bolsonaro in runoff polls.
Datafolha poll on Oct 1 shows Lula 48% and Bolsonaro 45% in a second round.
The same poll gives Lula 42% and Bolsonaro 38% for the vote on Oct 4.
Datafolha surveyed 2,506 people between Sept 29 and Oct 1, a 2-point margin of error.
Bolsonaro is under investigation for alleged corruption and money-laundering tied to a film about his father.

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