Full Breakdown
One Nation Launches Aggressive Victorian Campaign Ahead of November Election
By Drooid · · How we work
Core Event: Campaign Launch and Jail Threats
On a Saturday at the Crown Conference Centre in Southbank, One Nation unveiled its Victorian state-election campaign. The two-hour event featured party leader Pauline Hanson, Victorian leader Warren Pickering, and candidate Mark Nicholson, who addressed a crowd of roughly 750 supporters. Nicholson, the creator of the party’s “Please Explain” cartoon series and lead candidate for the Northern Metropolitan upper-house region, declared that former premiers Daniel Andrews and Jacinta Allan would be “in prison by Christmas” if One Nation wins power. He framed the rally as a “revolution” and promised a “toughest on-crime” government.
Background & Context
One Nation entered the Victorian contest with 112 candidates for every lower- and upper-house seat. Party officials described the moment as a “once-in-a-lifetime” opportunity to reshape Victorian politics.
Policy Platform: “The Real Deal”
The 63-page policy document titled The Real Deal outlines several flagship proposals:
- Make Victoria the toughest state on crime, including boosting police numbers, introducing a 24/7 bail court, and imposing harsher sentences for violent offences.
- Cancel the Suburban Rail Loop and repeal the Victorian State Treaty with First Nations Victorians.
- Eliminate a raft of taxes, roll back renewable-energy projects, and lift the ban on nuclear power.
- Increase transparency in spending and streamline court hearings.
The party has not released costings for any of these measures.
Data & Statistics
- Polling: The Freshwater Strategy poll of 1,030 voters (Sept 24-28) found the Coalition at 29 %, Labor at 24 %, and One Nation at 22 % in Victoria. The Resolve Political Monitor poll reported One Nation at 23 %, Labor at 25 %, and the Coalition at 28 %.
- Election Timing: The Victorian state election is scheduled for November 28.
Official Statements & Responses
- Pauline Hanson framed One Nation as a “vehicle” for voters, urging supporters to become the “engine” that drives change. She invoked Victorian history of rebellion, likening the current moment to the “state of Ned Kelly” and the Eureka Stockade.
- Mark Nicholson warned that “heads are going to roll” and that the “orange wave” would “reverberate across the country,” positioning the campaign as a turning point for the state.
Criticism & Opposition
Wilson called for a royal commission to investigate alleged infiltration of state infrastructure projects by criminal gangs and stressed the need for a coalition government to ensure due process.
Conflicting Reports & Gaps
- Polling figures for One Nation differ slightly: Freshwater Strategy reports 22 % support, while Resolve Political Monitor records 23 %.
- The party’s policy platform lacks detailed financial modelling, leaving the fiscal impact of proposals such as cancelling the Suburban Rail Loop and repealing taxes unclear.
Verbatim Quotes
- “The King is not above the law, the Prime Minister is not above the law, state politicians or federal politicians,” — Mr Wilson
What’s Next
The November 28 election will test One Nation’s surge. Analysts note that if the party secures a comparable share of the vote, it could win multiple upper-house seats and potentially hold the balance of power in the lower house, influencing the formation of government and the legislative agenda.