Full Breakdown
Netanyahu’s Handling of Pre-Oct 7 Warnings Under Scrutiny
By Drooid · · How we work
Core Event: New Revelations About Pre-Attack Alerts
In the weeks before the Oct 7, 2023 Hamas assault, multiple regional actors warned Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of an imminent large-scale attack. Four sources with direct knowledge told NPR that Netanyahu received alerts from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Egypt, yet he has publicly denied any such warnings and filed a defamation lawsuit against Israeli outlets that reported them. The controversy has resurfaced as Israel approaches a national election on Oct 27, 2026.
Background & Context
Diplomatic contacts before Oct 7 included a 40-minute call from UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan to Netanyahu, during which the Emirati leader warned that Hamas was planning a “big assault.” An unnamed source close to Palestinian figure Mohammed Dahlan confirmed the call’s length and content.
Separately, Egyptian intelligence chief Abbas Kamel traveled to Israel on Sept 26, 2023, meeting Mossad and Shin Bet officials and relaying a warning that Gaza was on the verge of an “explosion” because of the blockade and prisoner issues.
These warnings were reported by Haaretz, The New York Times and The Atlantic. Netanyahu’s office has consistently rejected the claims, stating that he never spoke with the UAE president during the period and that no warning was received.
Official Statements & Responses
Netanyahu has labeled the warning reports “fake news” and initiated a defamation lawsuit against Israeli media that published them. The UAE’s news agency acknowledged only that the Emirates “maintains dialogue with Israel,” without confirming the specific call. Israeli security chiefs have not publicly detailed the content of the warnings, and Netanyahu has blamed the security establishment for the failure to prevent the Oct 7 attacks.
Criticism & Opposition
Opposition figures argue that Netanyahu bears direct responsibility for the security lapse. Former Prime Ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid have publicly blamed the prime minister for the failure that led to thousands of deaths. Former hostage Gadi Moses contends that Netanyahu opposes a commission of inquiry for political reasons and criticizes the ongoing security situation around the Gaza border.
Conflicting Reports & Gaps
- UAE warning: NPR and Haaretz report a direct call from Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed to Netanyahu; the prime minister’s office denies any such conversation. The UAE neither confirms nor denies the call.
- Egyptian warning: NPR cites an anonymous Egyptian official and a Sept 26 visit by Kamel; The Atlantic notes uncertainty about whether Kamel met Netanyahu directly. Israeli officials have not acknowledged receipt of the warning.
- Internal Israeli awareness: Some advisers, such as Nimrod Novik, say they received “urgent and dramatic” warnings from Egypt. Netanyahu’s office disputes that these warnings reached the prime minister.
These divergent accounts leave open questions about the chain of communication and the extent of Netanyahu’s knowledge before Oct 7.
What’s Next
As the Oct 27 election approaches, opposition parties have pledged to establish a state commission of inquiry if they assume power. Netanyahu continues to resist forming such a commission, arguing that security chiefs bear responsibility for any lapses. The issue of pre-attack warnings is expected to remain a focal point of political debate in the coming weeks.
