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Flávio Bolsonaro Leads Brazil Vote With 47%

By Drooid · Oct 7, 2026, 11:44 PM UTC · How we work

Summary

Flávio Bolsonaro Leads

Flávio Bolsonaro leads Brazil's first-round presidential vote with 47% against President Luiz Lula's 45%.
Electoral court reports 21% abstention, the highest since 1998, equating to 33 million non-voters.
Runoff between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro is set for Oct. 25, 2026.
Datafolha poll shows 11% of voters remain undecided, up from 2% in 2022.
Bolsonaro's Liberal Party secured over one-third of Senate seats, boosting his congressional support.

Summary

Lula Reports Deforestation

Michelle Bolsonaro was elected to the Senate on Sunday.
Flávio Bolsonaro pledged amnesty for his father and 8 January rioters if he wins.
He vowed to label major gangs as terrorist groups and build El Salvador-style prisons.
Lula’s government reported Amazon deforestation fell to its lowest level in a decade during early 2026.
Flávio’s platform includes a public debt ceiling, spending cuts, and boosting Brazil’s critical minerals sector.

History

Historical Context

Jair Bolsonaro, a far-right deputy, won Brazil’s presidency in the 28 October 2018 runoff with about 46 % of the vote, after Dilma Rousseff’s 2016 impeachment and Operation Car Wash barred Lula. His hard-line rhetoric and fraud claims reshaped the right, and his son Flávio now leads the 2026 first round with roughly 47 % of votes, echoing his father’s strategy.

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Flávio Bolsonaro Leads

Flávio Bolsonaro leads Brazil's first-round presidential vote with 47% against President Luiz Lula's 45%.
Electoral court reports 21% abstention, the highest since 1998, equating to 33 million non-voters.
Runoff between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro is set for Oct. 25, 2026.
Datafolha poll shows 11% of voters remain undecided, up from 2% in 2022.
Bolsonaro's Liberal Party secured over one-third of Senate seats, boosting his congressional support.

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