Full Breakdown
Trump’s Record-Low Hispanic Approval Ahead of the Midterms
By Drooid · · How we work
Core Event: Sharp Drop in Hispanic Support for the President
A new NBC News/Telemundo poll released in early October found that only 27 percent of registered Latino voters approve of President Donald Trump’s performance, while 69 percent disapprove. A concurrent Reuters/Ipsos survey reported an even lower 24 percent approval among Hispanic Americans. Both polls show a sizable shift from the 2024 presidential election, when Trump captured roughly half of the Latino vote.
Background & Context
In the 2024 election, Trump’s share of the Hispanic electorate rose to 48 percent, up from 36 percent in 2020, a gain credited with helping him win the presidency. Since taking office in January 2025, his administration’s aggressive immigration enforcement and the war in Iran have eroded his standing with Latino voters.
Data & Statistics
- Approval ratings: 27 % (NBC News/Telemundo) vs. 24 % (Reuters/Ipsos).
- Party preference: 52 % of Hispanic voters say they will vote Democratic in the November 3 midterms, compared with 26 % for Republicans (Reuters/Ipsos).
- Issue salience: 65 % say Trump’s policies have hurt the economy; 67 % believe the administration has gone too far on immigration enforcement (NBC News/Telemundo).
- Older voters: Among those 50 and older, the Republican advantage narrows to 44 % vs. 42 % for Democrats (Reuters/Ipsos).
Official Statements & Responses
Representative Maria Elvira Salazar (FL) criticized the president, saying the Hispanic voters who helped him win “feel betrayed today” because of his hard-line immigration crackdown. Democratic officials have framed the midterms as a referendum on Trump’s agenda, emphasizing that a Democratic majority in either chamber would constrain his policy initiatives.
Criticism & Opposition
Salazar’s remarks highlight internal GOP dissent, noting that immigration enforcement has alienated a constituency that previously supported the president. Community advocates argue that the administration’s economic policies have disproportionately burdened Latino families, contributing to the erosion of support.
Conflicting Reports & Gaps
The two leading polls differ on the exact level of Hispanic approval (27 % vs. 24 %). Party-preference figures also vary: Reuters/Ipsos reports a 52 %–26 % Democratic-Republican split, while NBC News/Telemundo cites a 59 % Democratic advantage for congressional control. Neither source provides detailed state-by-state breakdowns, leaving uncertainty about how the trends will translate into specific House and Senate races.
Verbatim Quotes
- “Just so you understand, they all want me to go,” — President Trump, campaign rally
- “We have talked to several Trump voters on the ground, Latino Trump voters, who, because the economy is so bad, because they feel like Trump hasn't focused on any of the priorities he said he was going to focus on.” — Melissa Morales, founder of Somos Votantes
- “The same way that we cannot think that every immigrant, illegal immigrant, is a criminal, we cannot say that every ICE agent is an abusive person.” — Jaime Florez, RNC Hispanic outreach director
What’s Next
The November 3 midterm elections will determine control of both chambers of Congress. Analysts note that the Latino electorate’s shift toward Democrats could be decisive in closely contested House districts and may influence Senate outcomes in swing states such as Florida and Texas.