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Sharp Drop in UK Student Visa Applications Raises Funding Concerns for Universities

By Drooid · · How we work

Decline in UK Student Visa Applications

The UK Home Office reported that approximately 71,600 applications for sponsored study visas were submitted in September 2026, a 10.3 % decrease from September 2025. Over the 12-month period ending September 2026, total applications from main students fell 19 % to 352,500, while applications from student dependants dropped 31 % to 15,700—an 89 % decline from the level recorded in December 2023. The Home Office also noted that sponsored study visa grants, which peaked at 652,072 in the year ending June 2023, fell 41 % to 383,455 by June 2026.

Recent Policy Changes and Their Effects

Since January 2024, most international students have been barred from bringing dependants, with exceptions limited to postgraduate research students and government-sponsored scholars. In March 2026, the UK introduced a “visa brake” targeting applicants from Afghanistan, Cameroon, Myanmar and Sudan; the Home Office told Parliament that applications on those routes fell by more than 90 % between the fourth quarter of 2025 and the second quarter of 2026. The House of Commons Library recorded a 27 % year-on-year drop in Confirmations of Acceptance for Studies (CAS) issued for the September 2026 intake.

Financial Implications for Universities

The Higher Education Statistics Agency indicated that international student fees generated £12.4 billion in 2024/25, representing 23 % of total university income. Research estimates that the 404,500 international students who began courses in 2024/25 will produce £45.1 billion in economic benefits, offset by £4.7 billion in public costs, leaving a projected net contribution of £40 billion. A sustained decline in visa applications threatens this revenue stream.

Institutional Recruitment Adjustments

Universities have begun tightening recruitment and sponsorship controls. Business Insider Africa reported that the University of Sunderland paused applications from Sub-Saharan African countries—including Nigeria, Ghana and Kenya—for courses starting early 2027 while seeking to cut about £40 million from annual operating costs. Oxford Brookes University introduced stricter visa-sponsorship requirements for Nigerian applicants, such as earlier CAS deadlines and proof of a visa application within seven days, and limited CAS issuance for certain management-course applicants relying on funds from Globus or Parallex Bank to meet UKVI compliance. These measures reflect growing pressure on institutions to manage financial risk amid the visa downturn.