Full Breakdown
One Year After Gaza Ceasefire: Unmet Promises and Expanding Israeli Control
By Drooid · · How we work
Core Event – Ceasefire Implementation and Ongoing Violence
The Trump-brokered ceasefire began on October 10 2025 and was meant to halt major operations, free hostages and improve humanitarian access. A year later, Israeli forces control roughly 60 % of Gaza—beyond the 50 % withdrawal limit in the peace plan. Israeli attacks have killed more than 1,400 Palestinians and wounded 4,881 since the ceasefire, according to the Gaza Health Ministry, while five Israeli soldiers have been killed in Gaza during the same period.
Background & Context – The Board of Peace and the 20-Point Plan
President Donald Trump created the Board of Peace (BoP) in September 2025 to oversee a 20-point Gaza peace plan. The plan required Israel to withdraw to about half of the Strip, cease aerial and artillery bombardments, release 250 Palestinian prisoners and 1,700 Gaza detainees, and reopen border crossings for aid. It also called for Hamas to disarm in stages and for an International Stabilization Force (ISF) to replace Israeli troops. The UN Security Council recognized the BoP as a “transitional administration” in November 2025.
Official Statements & Responses – Israeli and International Actors
- Israel Defence Minister Israel Katz said the Israeli army “will never fully leave” the Strip.
- National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir advanced a “710 Disengagement Plan” to depopulate Gaza over seven years.
- Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected any withdrawal until Hamas is completely disarmed.
- Board of Peace presented a “6-Month Gaza Recovery Program” on Sept 23, ready to launch once funding and access are secured; no reconstruction has begun.
- UN OCHA documented 196 Palestinian deaths near the moving “Yellow Line,” noting its westward shift has swallowed water points and health facilities.
Criticism & Opposition – Rights Groups and Analysts
Human Rights Watch’s acting researcher Sarah Sanbar warned that “the outside world may be under a dangerous illusion that life in Gaza is returning to normal, but reality tells a very different story.”
Mohamad Elmasry of the Doha Institute described Israel’s actions as a policy of “ethnic cleansing” designed to make life “miserable” for Gaza’s residents.
Simon Mabon, a professor at Lancaster University, concluded that the BoP has “failed,” noting its inability to bind either Israel or Hamas to their commitments.
Conflicting Reports & Gaps – Missing Persons and Reconstruction Funding
Palestinian civil-defense authorities report over 630 bodies recovered from rubble since November 2025 and estimate more than 8,000 remain buried. Funding pledges to the BoP total $7 billion, yet reconstruction cost estimates range from $2.4 billion (BoP projects) to $71.4 billion (EU/UN), highlighting a substantial financing gap.
What’s Next – Pending Reviews and Political Developments
The BoP’s mandate runs until December 2027, when its progress will be reviewed for possible renewal by the United Nations. Israeli elections later this month may further constrain any compromise on Gaza. The International Stabilization Force remains unfunded and undeployed, leaving security and reconstruction responsibilities unresolved.