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Story summary
- Democrats lead 2026 midterm race with an 88% chance of retaining the House majority.
- Decision Desk HQ poll shows Democrats at 48% versus Republicans at 40% nationally.
- Republicans have spent over $51 million on future Senate ads in Iowa, while Democrats have pledged nearly $5 million.
- GOP groups have poured $323 million into Ken Paxton’s Texas Senate race, outspending Democrats’ $116 million for James Talarico.
