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NOAA Predicts Very Strong El Niño Through Winter 2026-27

By Drooid · Oct 15, 2026, 4:26 PM UTC · How we work

Summary

Story summary

The Climate Prediction Center says a historic, very strong El Niño will persist through winter 2026-27.
CPC assigns a 100% chance the El Niño will continue into Jan-Mar 2027.
CPC estimates over 90% probability the event will be very strong.
CPC reports a 75% chance the El Niño will surpass all events since 1950.
NOAA forecasts above-average precipitation for California, the Southwest, Texas, the Gulf Coast, the Southeast, and the Mid-Atlantic.

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Story summary

The Climate Prediction Center says a historic, very strong El Niño will persist through winter 2026-27.
CPC assigns a 100% chance the El Niño will continue into Jan-Mar 2027.
CPC estimates over 90% probability the event will be very strong.
CPC reports a 75% chance the El Niño will surpass all events since 1950.
NOAA forecasts above-average precipitation for California, the Southwest, Texas, the Gulf Coast, the Southeast, and the Mid-Atlantic.