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Story summary
- Sabato’s Crystal Ball reclassified the Kansas Senate race as Toss-Up on Oct 14, 2026.
- Recent YouGov and InsiderAdvantage polls in early Oct 2026 show Democrat Adam Hamilton ahead of Senator Roger Marshall.
- Senate Leadership Fund has poured millions into Marshall’s campaign, according to Sabato’s analysis.
- President Donald Trump will visit Wichita five days before Election Day.
- Kansas voter registration is 45% Republican, 25% Democrat, remainder unaffiliated, says political science professor Bob Beatty.