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Story summary
- Flávio Bolsonaro leads the first round by 2% over Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, setting a runoff for October 25.
- Deforestation in 2026 is projected to be the decade’s lowest, a 41% drop from Jair Bolsonaro’s tenure.
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva increased forest monitoring and strengthened IBAMA after taking office.
- Claudio Forner of Climate Analytics warned a Bolsonaro win could legalize deforestation and undo Lula’s strengthened protections.