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Nate Silver Raises Democrats’ Senate Control Chance to 75%

By Drooid · · How we work

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Silver Boosts Democrats
  • Nate Silver upgraded the Democrats' Senate win probability to 75%.
  • The FLIPR model moved the forecast from “Lean D” to “Likely D”.
  • Democrats must net four Senate seats to gain control from Republicans.
  • The nationwide generic ballot shows Democrats ahead by 9.6 points.
  • If polls overstate Democrats by 3-4 points, the Senate chance drops to 38%.
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