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U.S. Air Force Moves AGM-183A “ARRW” Hypersonic Missile into Production

By Drooid · · How we work

Core Event: Production Contract Awarded

The Air Force awarded Lockheed Martin a $694 million contract on September 29 to start low-rate production of the AGM-183A Air-Launched Rapid Response Weapon (ARRW) hypersonic missile. The award follows a 2023 decision to cancel the program after multiple test failures.

Background and Development History

ARRW development began in 2018 with a design contract up to $480 million. The effort built on the DARPA-Air Force X-51 boost-glide demonstrator and targeted a prototype by 2021. Early milestones included captive-carry tests in 2019 and a $988.8 million critical-design-review modification that year. The first launch attempt in April 2021 failed; two more attempts also failed before a successful test in May 2022. Funding gaps appeared in 2021 when Congress cut money for twelve missiles, and FY 2023 funding was eliminated. In March 2023, senior acquisition official Andrew Hunter warned the program would end without purchases.

Funding and Procurement Timeline

  • Late Oct 2023: Resources shifted to the smaller Hypersonic Attack Cruise Missile (HACM); ARRW cancellation was indicated.
  • 2025: Chief of Staff Gen. David Allvin told Congress the service intended to procure ARRW.
  • FY 2026: Budget request included $362 million, leading to the September 29 contract.
  • FY 2027: Request listed $452 million for continued production; still pending congressional approval.
  • FY 2028-2031: Projected annual procurement of $556-$621 million.

Quantities remain classified as “controlled unclassified information.”

Technical Description and Intended Platforms

ARRW is a multistage boost-glide weapon. A rocket booster accelerates the missile to hypersonic speed (>= Mach 5, ~3,800 mph). After booster separation, an unpowered glide vehicle maneuvers toward high-value, time-sensitive targets. The missile is too large for most fighters; initial fielding is planned for the B-52 Stratofortress and has been tested on the B-1 Lancer. Future “Increment 2” variants may add a terminal seeker and data-link for moving maritime targets.

Official Statements & Responses

  • Gen. David Allvin (2025 congressional testimony) confirmed intent to purchase ARRW, aligning with FY 2026 funding.
  • Andrew Hunter, senior acquisition executive, previously warned the program would terminate without purchases; the 2026 contract addresses that concern.

Data & Funding Summary

  • Contract value: $694 million (Lockheed Martin).
  • FY 2028-2031 projected annual procurement: $556-$621 million.

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

  • The exact number of missiles covered by the September 29 contract is undisclosed.
  • Integration plans for B-52 and B-1 platforms are confirmed, but no timeline for fielding operational missiles has been released.

What’s Next

The FY 2027 budget request includes funding for “Increment 2” technology—terminal seeker, data-link, and cost-reduction efforts—linked to the Pacific Deterrence Initiative. Congressional approval of FY 2027 and later funding will dictate the pace of ARRW fielding and variant development.