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Poll Shows Democrats Up 9, Johnson Predicts GOP Win

By Drooid · Oct 27, 2026, 23:36 UTC · How we work

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Summary

House Speaker Mike Johnson says Republicans will win despite polls showing a Democratic lead.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll released Oct. 26 shows Democrats leading likely voters by nine percentage points.
Johnson has raised $526 million for Republicans this cycle, with 97% of his 55 endorsed candidates winning primaries.
Johnson said he would likely remain speaker even if Republicans lose the House majority.

History

During the 1994 midterms, Newt Gingrich’s Contract with America drove a 54-seat swing that gave Republicans their first House majority since 1952, reshaping Southern representation and launching a 12-year GOP control. Today, Speaker Mike Johnson echoes that confidence, insisting Republicans will retain the chamber despite polls favoring Democrats, a stance rooted in the 1994 Republican Revolution.

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Historical Context

During the 1994 midterms, Newt Gingrich’s Contract with America drove a 54-seat swing that gave Republicans their first House majority since 1952, reshaping Southern representation and launching a 12-year GOP control. Today, Speaker Mike Johnson echoes that confidence, insisting Republicans will retain the chamber despite polls favoring Democrats, a stance rooted in the 1994 Republican Revolution.

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