Story perspectives
Silver Removes Fabricated Wedgewood Polls, Tightens Michigan Margin
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Story summary
- Nate Silver removed fabricated Wedgewood Polling data from his election forecast on Oct. 28, 2026.
- The removal cut the Michigan Senate Democratic lead from 3.6 points to 3 points.
- The removal also lowered the generic-ballot Democratic average from 51.7% to 51.5%.
- Wedgewood Polling admitted most surveys were fabricated as an experiment exposing polling vulnerabilities.
- FiftyPlusOne researchers found raw-data irregularities, prompting poll aggregators and media to strip Wedgewood polls.