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Poll Shows Abdul El-Sayed Leading Mike Rogers in Michigan

By Drooid · Oct 28, 2026 · How we work

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Summary

Senator Ted Cruz said a win by Abdul El-Sayed could signal Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the 2028 Democratic nominee.
Cruz alleged El-Sayed backs the Muslim Brotherhood and would endanger Americans on the Senate Intelligence Committee.
A WDIV/Detroit News poll of 600 likely Michigan voters (Oct. 19-22) showed El-Sayed leading Mike Rogers 51.4% to 45.1%.
Prediction-market averages gave Ocasio-Cortez an 11.8% implied chance and JD Vance an 18.7% chance for the 2028 presidency.
U.S. President Donald Trump joked at an Oct. 27 rally in Lubbock, Texas, that he would nominate Cruz to Supreme Court.

History

Barack Obama, elected Illinois senator in 2004, secured the Democratic presidential nomination after reaching the 2,118-delegate threshold on June 3 2008, a year Democrats captured a Senate majority in a historic wave election. The current Michigan Senate race between Republican-aligned Abdul El-Sayed and Democrat Mike Rogers revives that pattern of Senate seats shaping presidential calculations.

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Barack Obama, elected Illinois senator in 2004, secured the Democratic presidential nomination after reaching the 2,118-delegate threshold on June 3 2008, a year Democrats captured a Senate majority in a historic wave election. The current Michigan Senate race between Republican-aligned Abdul El-Sayed and Democrat Mike Rogers revives that pattern of Senate seats shaping presidential calculations.

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