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Full Breakdown

Cyclone Arnab: Expected Landfall, Evacuations and Early Impacts on India’s Eastern Coast

By Drooid · · How we work

In this breakdown

01

Core Event

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) classifies Cyclone Arnab as a “very severe cyclonic storm,” the third-highest category on its scale. It is forecast to cross the Andhra Pradesh and Yanam coasts between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam early Wednesday, with sustained winds of 125–135 km h?¹ and gusts up to 150 km h?¹. A storm surge of 1–1.5 m above the astronomical tide is expected to inundate low-lying areas.

02

Background & Context

Arnab formed over the southeast Bay of Bengal on 23 October, became a cyclonic storm by 26 October and reached “very severe” status on 27 October. Warm sea-surface temperatures, linked to the El Niño phenomenon, have aided its rapid intensification.

03

Data & Statistics

  • Evacuations: Over 180 000 people moved to shelters in Andhra Pradesh and Odisha.
  • Infrastructure: More than 15 000 electricity poles damaged; power outages persisted.
  • Agriculture: About 79 000 acres of crops damaged, especially banana and coconut in Konaseema.
  • Rainfall (first 24 h): 216.9 mm in Visakhapatnam, 147 mm in Kalingapatnam, 123 mm in Tuni, 118 mm in Kakinada, 115 mm in Machilipatnam.
  • Maritime: Over 30 000 fishing boats secured; 1 100 medical teams deployed.

04

Official Statements & Responses

  • Chief Minister N. Chandrababu Naidu (Andhra Pradesh) stressed “protecting every life,” ordered round-the-clock vigilance, district control rooms and regular alerts, and sought assistance from the Union Home Minister.
  • Prakhar Jain, managing director of the Andhra Pradesh State Disaster Management Authority, reported evacuation efforts and preparation of over 2 000 cyclone shelters across 20 districts.
  • Narendra Singh Bundela, senior NDRF official, confirmed three deaths and the loss of at least 180 houses and 220 trees.
  • Manorama Mohanty, director of the Meteorological Centre in Bhubaneswar, warned of a red alert for several Odisha districts due to landslide and flash-flood risk.

05

On-the-Ground Reports

Residents described chaotic conditions as water surged into homes and trees toppled onto roads. A Kakinada resident recounted being rescued after floodwaters surrounded a bus stop, while another in Visakhapatnam said, “our homes get flooded, and we have to stay in the water.”

06

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

  • Death toll: Official Andhra Pradesh figures list six fatalities; *Times of India* cites nine, *AP* at least three, *New Indian Express* five, and *IndiaTimes* eight. No single source provides a verified total.
  • Casualty verification: Reports differ on causes—electrocution, falling trees, wall collapses—and precise locations remain partially unverified.

07

Verbatim Quotes

  • “No one knew whose house the water would rush into next or whose home would be submerged.” — disaster-management official
  • “Our homes get flooded, and we have to stay in the water,” — Rajeshwari

08

What’s Next

The IMD expects the storm surge to subside within hours after landfall, but heavy rainfall will continue into Thursday. Authorities warn of additional landslides in Odisha’s hilly districts. Monitoring by the National Crisis Management Committee and deployment of NDRF, State Disaster Response Force and armed-forces units will continue to support rescue and restoration efforts.