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Full Breakdown

Trump’s “Pretend I’m on the Ballot” Push Ahead of the 2026 Midterms

By Drooid · · How we work

In this breakdown

01

Trump’s Core Midterm Message

President Donald Trump has toured the nation urging Republican voters to “pretend” he is on the ballot, despite not being a candidate. At a Kansas rally he told supporters to “pretend I’m on the ballot,” a refrain he repeated at events in Kentucky, North Carolina and other states. The strategy is framed as a way to mobilize his base and to position the GOP’s agenda as “Trump-supporting” versus “Democratic” alternatives.

02

Campaign Promises and Rhetoric

During the campaign Trump announced a $5,000 grant for every American adult if Republicans retain control of both chambers, though details on delivery were not provided. He also claimed that gas prices would soon “tumble” to their lowest level in years, a statement PolitiFact disputed by noting that the average price was about $3 per gallon when he took office last year, while by late September it had risen to $4.61 per gallon.

Visual evidence

‘“Pretend I’m on the ballot” has become a regular rallying cry as Trump tries to fend off a Democratic “blue wave” in Congress.’
‘“Pretend I’m on the ballot” has become a regular rallying cry as Trump tries to fend off a Democratic “blue wave” in Congress.’Photo: theguardian
President Donald J. Trump attends Superbowl LIX between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday, February 9, 2025, at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Official White House
President Donald J. Trump attends Superbowl LIX between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday, February 9, 2025, at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Official White HousePhoto: nationalsecurityjournal
Donald Trump. Image
Donald Trump. ImagePhoto: nationalsecurityjournal
Donald Trump
Donald TrumpPhoto: nationalsecurityjournal

03

Poll Data and Voter Sentiment

  • The latest Cook poll projects Democrats could flip 12 to 22 House seats on November 3, needing just four to seize control.
  • A Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos poll shows 58 % of registered voters prefer a Democratic-led Congress versus 39 % favoring a Trump-aligned Republican Congress, a margin nearly double that of a year earlier.
  • The same survey reports nearly 50 % of respondents feel financially worse off since Trump returned to the White House.
  • A Reuters/Ipsos poll indicates affordability will be decisive for about half of voters, linking disapproval of Trump’s handling of the cost of living to Republican electoral challenges.

04

Verbatim Quote

  • “The midterms are not supposed to be won by the sitting president,” — Donald Trump, president — Donald Trump, president