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Full Breakdown

SK Hynix Posts Record Q3 2026 Profit and Warns Memory Shortage Will Last Through 2030

By Drooid · · How we work

In this breakdown

01

Record Quarter and Forecasted Supply Gap

SK Hynix announced third-quarter 2026 results on October 28. Revenue hit 104.6 trillion won, a 328 % YoY rise, and operating profit climbed to 83.3 trillion won, up 632 % YoY, giving an 80 % operating margin, the highest ever. The company projected that global memory demand will continue to outstrip supply through 2030.

02

Long-Term Customer Agreements

SK Hynix has signed LTAs with 14 major customers, covering more than 50 % of production capacity for 2027-2028. Combined with contracts under discussion, the firm says its DRAM and HBM output is effectively sold out through 2029.

Visual evidence

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SK???? '100? ??'? 6?? ??…? ????Photo: sbs
SK hynix CEO Kwak Noh-Jung attends the company's opening bell ceremony at the Nasdaq market on the day of their IPO in New York City, U.S., on July 10
SK hynix CEO Kwak Noh-Jung attends the company's opening bell ceremony at the Nasdaq market on the day of their IPO in New York City, U.S., on July 10Photo: koreajoongangdaily
SK Hynix "Three Years Sold Out" Propels Kospi Back Past 6,000; Samsung Electronics Announcement Today
SK Hynix "Three Years Sold Out" Propels Kospi Back Past 6,000; Samsung Electronics Announcement TodayPhoto: sbs
RAM sticks stacked on top of each other
RAM sticks stacked on top of each otherPhoto: techradar
A man walks past the SK hynix headquarters in Icheon on July 29, 2026.
A man walks past the SK hynix headquarters in Icheon on July 29, 2026.Photo: fortune
SK hynix Posts Record Quarter as D-Ram, HBM Sold Out Through 2029 - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
SK hynix Posts Record Quarter as D-Ram, HBM Sold Out Through 2029 - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South KoreaPhoto: sedaily
SK hynix's HBM4E. SK hynix
SK hynix's HBM4E. SK hynixPhoto: sedaily
Hand holding two DDR5 RAM memory modules in front of gaming computer with RGB lighting
Hand holding two DDR5 RAM memory modules in front of gaming computer with RGB lightingPhoto: techradar

03

Shareholder Return Plan

The firm unveiled a shareholder-return program of roughly 100 trillion won for fiscal 2026, including:

  • Cash dividends of at least 30 trillion won, with a special dividend tied to gains from the Kioxia investment.
  • Share buybacks and cancellations of at least 60 trillion won, building on a 40 trillion won buyback completed in August.

The board approved a third-quarter dividend of 20 000 won per share (14 trillion won total) and a 20 trillion won share-repurchase program, half of which will be cancelled to boost EPS.

04

Official Statements & Responses

The firm highlighted a “virtuous cycle” where AI-driven productivity gains broaden the investment base beyond cloud providers, reinforcing demand for memory.

05

Criticism & Opposition

Regulators criticized the halt of the planned IPO of Solidigm, SK Hynix’s U.S. NAND subsidiary, fearing it could erode shareholder value. Financial Supervisory Service Governor Lee Chan-jin and Financial Services Commission Chairman Lee Eog-weon stressed the board’s duty to protect shareholders and questioned the timing of the cancellation.

07

Why It Matters

A prolonged memory shortage impacts AI data-center builders, autonomous-vehicle developers, and robotics firms that rely on high-bandwidth memory. Tighter supply for commodity DRAM and NAND is already pushing up prices for PCs, smartphones, and gaming consoles. The KOSPI rose over 6 % after the release, with SK Hynix shares gaining about 10 % on the day. Analysts now expect operating profit to breach 100 trillion won in Q4 2026, reinforcing the firm’s position in the AI-driven memory supercycle.

08

Verbatim Quotes

  • “The IPO was intended to raise external capital for the expansion of Solidigm’s production facilities, and thereby to lighten our own investment burden and broaden our capacity for shareholder returns,” — Kwak, CEO, SK Hynix
  • “We expect it to be difficult to fully meet customers' volume requirements in the near term,” — Woo-hyun Kim, CFO

09

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

  • SK Hynix projects a shortage lasting until 2030.
  • Micron describes the market as “even tighter” for 2027-2028, without a specific 2030 horizon.
  • Analysts differ on the timing of the next profit milestone: some forecast operating profit topping 100 trillion won in Q4 2026, while others note the guidance falls short of market expectations for Q4 revenue.

These divergent outlooks illustrate uncertainty around new fab construction and the extent to which AI-driven demand will sustain current pricing pressures.