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Full Breakdown

Trump’s “Biggest Oil Deal” Faces Operational Hurdles in Venezuela

By Drooid · · How we work

In this breakdown

01

The Deal’s Announcement and Scope

On October 30, President Donald Trump announced an agreement giving a U.S.-backed firm control of 17 Venezuelan oilfields with an estimated 64 billion barrels of reserves. The contract grants the United States a 35 % stake in North American Blue Energy Partners (NABEP) and the right to purchase 20 % of output at production cost.

02

Implementation Milestones and Challenges

The deal moved forward on October 1 when NABEP assumed operational control of 14 additional fields under Venezuelan agreements that include production targets. NABEP reports having invested $1 billion since 2024 and plans to raise annual reinvestment by up to 50 %.

On the ground, workers describe unpaid invoices, idle machinery, damaged facilities, oil leaks and a shortage of technical staff. At the Petrozamora field, equipment sits idle and payments are delayed; satellite analysis in early October found no drilling infrastructure at seven of the 17 fields.

Visual evidence

Venezuela US Oil Reserves
Venezuela US Oil ReservesPhoto: ap
In Venezuelan oil region, industry reform sparks both hope and skepticism
In Venezuelan oil region, industry reform sparks both hope and skepticismPhoto: reuters
FILE PHOTO: First Venezuelan oil from US-NABEP deal arrives in Texas, to be sold to Exxon, Citgo
FILE PHOTO: First Venezuelan oil from US-NABEP deal arrives in Texas, to be sold to Exxon, CitgoPhoto: reuters
Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado in Venezuela's capital, Caracas, on October 29, 2026
Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado in Venezuela's capital, Caracas, on October 29, 2026Photo: aljazeera

03

Data & Statistics

  • Current output: roughly 224,000 bpd (mid-October) vs. the target of >1 million bpd.
  • Inactive wells: about 4,000 in the Maracaibo basin, with ?80 % needing repair.
  • Workforce: NABEP employs ~5,000 staff and over 10,000 contractors.
  • Planned equipment: 60 rigs and 70 pieces of heavy machinery are slated to arrive; three drilling rigs are already operating in the Orinoco Belt with three more planned.
  • Reserve estimates: While the deal cites 64 billion barrels, Rice University’s Latin America Energy Program director notes that only about 10 billion barrels are realistically developable within Venezuela’s 25-year project limit.

04

Official Statements & Responses

  • Donald Trump called the agreement the “biggest oil deal in history” and described the first cargo of 1 million barrels to Texas as a “gift.”
  • White House spokeswoman Taylor Rogers said production is growing and the deal is delivering results for the American people.
  • NABEP spokesperson Terry Wade asserted the company is on track, that invoices are being paid, and that the supplier base is expanding.
  • Interim President Delcy Rodriguez defended the pact as vital for reviving Venezuela’s oil sector.
  • PDVSA Vice President Jovanny Martinez told state media the 1 million-bpd target could be reached within six to seven years.

05

Criticism & Opposition

  • Former energy minister Humberto Calderón Berti warned the agreement would not last long, citing NABEP’s limited technical qualifications.
  • Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado said the deal lacks transparency and linked it to broader political changes.
  • Analysts note aging infrastructure, the need for massive capital and the difficulty of developing remote fields.

06

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

  • Reserve figures: Trump and NABEP cite 64 billion barrels; independent experts argue only about 10 billion are feasibly recoverable.
  • Infrastructure presence: Satellite imagery shows no drilling rigs at seven contracted fields, contradicting claims of immediate capacity.
  • Official comments: Venezuela’s oil ministry and PDVSA have not responded to requests for comment on several operational details.

07

Verbatim Quotes

  • “To the victor belongs the spoils, right?” — Donald Trump
  • “Production is growing and this deal is already delivering results for the American people.” — NABEP spokesperson

08

What’s Next

NABEP will continue deploying rigs and heavy machinery to the 17 fields while seeking additional financing and partners. No specific dates have been announced for meeting the 1 million-bpd target.